Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.003507 0.003836 0.004187 0.004592 0.005045 0.005539 0.006119
2025-12-14 0.002915 0.003370 0.003889 0.004531 0.005307 0.006224 0.007396
2025-12-21 0.002547 0.003051 0.003654 0.004435 0.005432 0.006676 0.008369
2025-12-28 0.002301 0.002835 0.003497 0.004389 0.005577 0.007130 0.009360
2026-01-04 0.002140 0.002702 0.003420 0.004420 0.005805 0.007695 0.010542
2026-01-11 0.001975 0.002545 0.003291 0.004363 0.005895 0.008065 0.011477
2026-01-18 0.001843 0.002418 0.003189 0.004324 0.005999 0.008452 0.012471
2026-01-25 0.001723 0.002297 0.003084 0.004269 0.006066 0.008783 0.013405
2026-02-01 0.001639 0.002219 0.003029 0.004280 0.006227 0.009266 0.014635
2026-02-08 0.001546 0.002121 0.002939 0.004227 0.006281 0.009578 0.015610
2026-02-15 0.001455 0.002021 0.002838 0.004148 0.006284 0.009804 0.016453
2026-02-22 0.001400 0.001970 0.002806 0.004173 0.006455 0.010322 0.017891
2026-03-01 0.001367 0.001952 0.002827 0.004290 0.006801 0.011202 0.020193
2026-03-08 0.001295 0.001870 0.002744 0.004234 0.006848 0.011557 0.021527
2026-03-15 0.001222 0.001783 0.002648 0.004145 0.006829 0.011784 0.022629
2026-03-22 0.001165 0.001718 0.002582 0.004103 0.006886 0.012161 0.024108
2026-03-29 0.001127 0.001681 0.002559 0.004132 0.007076 0.012816 0.026318
2026-04-05 0.001076 0.001620 0.002492 0.004079 0.007105 0.013148 0.027833
2026-04-12 0.001032 0.001568 0.002437 0.004043 0.007164 0.013547 0.029580
2026-04-19 0.000989 0.001514 0.002377 0.003993 0.007188 0.013871 0.031196
2026-04-26 0.000959 0.001482 0.002351 0.004002 0.007333 0.014477 0.033662
2026-05-03 0.000921 0.001434 0.002296 0.003954 0.007353 0.014802 0.035432
2026-05-10 0.000882 0.001382 0.002230 0.003881 0.007317 0.014996 0.036869